The espionage games going on in Azerbaijan and Iran are likely to be a result of the on-going assassination of Iranian nuclear scientists. The article confirms that security elevations were clearly warranted following the botched bombing attempt of Saudi officials at a Washington D.C. area restaurant. Additionally, increased mobilization of troops at U.S. Army bases also points to increased security concerns. The mobility of large platoons can be an indicator of the world-wide security awareness from non-public information.
Sunday, as I sat on the outside patio of Sequoia's in Georgetown (btw phenomenal brunch), helicopter runs occurred approximately every 5-10 minutes during the holiday weekend. Helicopters can be used to carry surveillance and detection equipment.
It should be glaringly obvious that Iran will have nuclear capabilities in the near future (if not already), altering the balance of power in the Middle East. The acknowledgement is likely to come 6-12 months after the fact. The ability of N. Korea to maintain complete control over society is exacerbated by their errant threats. The threat of nuclear action allows dictators to appear more competent, manipulative and erratic to gain as much attention as possible. US policy in the Middle East should not change, although the behind the scenes operations might be altered to compensate for an additional country with nuclear capabilities. Pakistan and N. Korea already have the a-bomb, while Iran only adds to the list of potential catastrophes.
If Iran and N. Korea continue to believe the a-bomb with stifle modernization, they are badly misinformed. Evolution is inevitable-- Parliamentary and Republic systems allow a country to manage the technological changes in an orderly way, and maintain control of society. Repressed societal change breeds resentment and militancy, often manifested through violence and increasingly desperate actions. After all, desperate times call for desperate measures.
1 See Warrick's article, "U.S. officials among the targets of Iran-linked assassination plot" at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-officials-among-the-targets-of-iran-linked-assassination-plots/2012/05/27/gJQAHlAOvU_story.html>.
Sunday, as I sat on the outside patio of Sequoia's in Georgetown (btw phenomenal brunch), helicopter runs occurred approximately every 5-10 minutes during the holiday weekend. Helicopters can be used to carry surveillance and detection equipment.
It should be glaringly obvious that Iran will have nuclear capabilities in the near future (if not already), altering the balance of power in the Middle East. The acknowledgement is likely to come 6-12 months after the fact. The ability of N. Korea to maintain complete control over society is exacerbated by their errant threats. The threat of nuclear action allows dictators to appear more competent, manipulative and erratic to gain as much attention as possible. US policy in the Middle East should not change, although the behind the scenes operations might be altered to compensate for an additional country with nuclear capabilities. Pakistan and N. Korea already have the a-bomb, while Iran only adds to the list of potential catastrophes.
If Iran and N. Korea continue to believe the a-bomb with stifle modernization, they are badly misinformed. Evolution is inevitable-- Parliamentary and Republic systems allow a country to manage the technological changes in an orderly way, and maintain control of society. Repressed societal change breeds resentment and militancy, often manifested through violence and increasingly desperate actions. After all, desperate times call for desperate measures.
1 See Warrick's article, "U.S. officials among the targets of Iran-linked assassination plot" at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-officials-among-the-targets-of-iran-linked-assassination-plots/2012/05/27/gJQAHlAOvU_story.html>.
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